Browse Predictions
Explore public, approved predictions by category.
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' be released and available for purchase before the end of 2026?
A culture/gaming prediction on the release of the famously delayed indie title.
Will the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approve a Staked Ethereum ETF before the end of 2026?
A finance prediction on the next phase of crypto regulation, allowing ETFs to earn yield from the underlying asset.
Will Neuralink successfully restore functional vision to a blind patient (via the 'Blindsight' implant) in a human trial before the end of 2027?
A medical technology prediction on Elon Musk's claim to cure blindness using cortical implants.
Will the 'One Piece' manga series publish its final chapter before the end of 2028?
A culture prediction on the conclusion of Eiichiro Oda's decades-spanning epic.
Will China launch the 'Tianwen-3' Mars sample return mission before the end of 2028?
A space technology prediction on the race between the US and China to bring Martian soil to Earth.
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' become the highest-grossing film of all time (surpassing $2.92 billion) during its theatrical run?
A box office prediction for the third Avatar film, releasing in December 2025, challenging the record held by its predecessor.
Will at least five additional U.S. states legalize sports betting before end of 2026?
A gambling and regulatory prediction testing whether the sports betting legalization wave continues, with five or more currently-non-legal states joining the existing 38+ states with some form of legal wagering by end of 2026.
Will renewable energy generation account for 50%+ of global electricity by end of 2027?
An energy transition prediction testing whether clean energy (solar, wind, hydro, nuclear) exceeds 50% of worldwide electricity generation, reflecting accelerated energy transition timeline.
Will at least three major pharmaceutical companies announce Phase 3 clinical trial results for senescence-targeting therapies by end of 2027?
A healthcare prediction testing whether the senescence/longevity research field matures from Phase 2 pilots toward advanced clinical development, with major pharma companies publishing significant human trial data.
Will the first senolytic drug receive FDA approval for treating age-related disease (not just aging) before end of 2027?
A healthcare and longevity prediction testing whether senolytic drugsâwhich eliminate senescent "zombie cells" that accumulate with ageâachieve FDA approval as therapeutic treatment for specific age-related conditions like osteoporosis or Alzheimer's.
Will an AI system demonstrate AGI-level reasoning capabilities by passing standardized tests at human expert level before end of 2026?
An artificial intelligence prediction on the trajectory toward artificial general intelligence, testing whether frontier AI models achieve human-level performance on complex reasoning tasks requiring knowledge transfer and problem-solving across domains.
Will global renewable energy surpass fossil fuels in electricity generation before end of 2026?
An energy prediction testing whether renewable energy sources (solar, wind, hydro) generate more global electricity than fossil fuels by end of 2026, reflecting the accelerating energy transition.