Browse Predictions
Explore public, approved predictions by category.
Will the **global market for aftermarket car accessories** (e.g., sound systems, roof racks) decline by over 15% in 2026?
Forecasting the negative impact of highly integrated, software-defined EVs on the traditional accessory market.
Will a major **battery company** (e.g., CATL, LG) announce a successful trial of a **sodium-ion battery** (not lithium) for commercial EV use by 2026?
Predicting the breakthrough of an alternative, cheaper battery chemistry.
Will the **total global cost of car insurance** increase by over 20% in 2026, driven by repair costs for complex sensors and batteries?
Forecasting a major financial headwind to vehicle ownership due to advanced technology.
Will the **average time for an EV battery to charge** from 10% to 80% (using a public fast charger) drop below **15 minutes** in 2026?
Predicting a key technical advancement that solves the 'refueling' time problem.
Will the **European Union** impose a significant **carbon tax** specifically targeting new ICE vehicle sales by 2026?
Predicting a major financial measure to disincentivize fossil fuel vehicle purchases.
Will the **total number of autonomous trucks** (Level 4) operating commercially on US highways exceed 500 by the end of 2026?
Forecasting the industrial scaling of autonomous long-haul logistics.
Will a major **ride-sharing company** (e.g., Uber, Lyft) announce a plan to use **autonomous vehicles** for over 50% of its rides in a major city by 2026?
Predicting the imminent replacement of human drivers with autonomous fleets.
Will a commercial **electric Vertical Take-off and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft** (i.e., 'flying car') successfully launch a **scheduled passenger service** in a major global city by 2026?
Predicting the successful, real-world debut of the Urban Air Mobility (UAM) sector.
Will the **total global sales of hydrogen Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)** surpass 50,000 in 2026?
Forecasting a modest but meaningful growth in the competing hydrogen fuel technology sector.
Will a new **US federal tax credit** be enacted specifically for the purchase of **used Electric Vehicles (EVs)** by 2026?
Predicting a policy move to boost EV adoption among lower-income consumers.
Will the **global price of lithium-ion battery packs** (average per kWh) drop below **$80** by the end of 2026?
Forecasting the crucial cost reduction that makes EVs price-competitive with internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.
Will a major **Chinese EV manufacturer** (e.g., BYD, Nio) achieve a **5% or greater market share** in the European Union (EU) new car sales in 2026?
Predicting the successful, large-scale entry of Chinese EV brands into a major Western market.