General
Will US Federal Agencies (TSA/DHS) mandate a Mobile Driver's License (mDL) for all official identification purposes by May 5, 2027?
A technology and politics prediction on the compulsory acceptance of mobile/digital IDs for federal identification, coinciding with the REAL ID enforcement phase-out.
46 total votes
Analysis
mDL Adoption, Not Mandate
Federal agencies are moving to **accept** Mobile Driver's Licenses (**mDLs**), especially for TSA checkpoints, as the final phase of the REAL ID card-based enforcement is set for May 5, 2027. However, the prediction is about a **mandate**—meaning mDLs would be *required*, replacing the physical REAL ID. The strong 'No' vote reflects the political and logistical impossibility of mandating digital-only ID by 2027, given the need to accommodate citizens without smartphones or those who prefer physical ID. Acceptance will be widespread, but a full mandate is unlikely this decade.