General
Will the US statutory corporate income tax rate be increased above 21% before the end of 2030?
A US politics prediction on the likelihood of major tax reform to address the national debt.
108 total votes
Analysis
The Corporate Tax Shift
The current US statutory corporate income tax rate is 21% (simulated late 2025 context). This rate was set by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017. With rising national debt and pressure to fund social programs, proposals to increase the corporate tax rate by 1 to 5 percentage points are common in Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and policy discussions. The strong 'Yes' vote is based on the expectation that some major tax provisions from the TCJA will expire or be modified, and that a politically opportune moment will arise to increase the corporate rate above 21% before 2030 as a measure to reduce the mounting national deficit, regardless of which party is in power.