Economics
Will the US National Debt exceed $40 Trillion before the end of 2026?
An economics prediction on the pace of US federal borrowing.
Yes 70%Maybe 11%No 19%
54 total votes
Analysis
US Debt: Hitting $40 Trillion by 2026?
The US National Debt stands at over $36 trillion in late 2025. This prediction asks if it will cross the $40 Trillion threshold before the end of 2026.
The Interest Spiral
The 'Yes' vote is dominant. With annual deficits running near $2 trillion and net interest on the debt becoming a major budget line item due to higher-for-longer rates, the mathematical trajectory points directly to $40 trillion in roughly 18-24 months. Without unforeseen massive spending cuts or tax hikes (unlikely in an election/post-election year), this fiscal milestone is a statistical inevitability.