General
Will the US federal minimum wage (not state/city) be raised to $15.00/hour or higher before the end of 2028?
An economics prediction on the political feasibility of a major increase in the US national minimum wage.
Yes 38%Maybe 7%No 55%
102 total votes
Analysis
The $15.00 Minimum Wage Fight
The current US federal minimum wage (simulated late 2025 context) remains far below the $15.00/hour target proposed by many Democrats. The 'No' vote leads due to the high probability of continued Congressional gridlock. Raising the federal minimum wage requires a significant legislative majority that is difficult to attain, making passage before the end of 2028, regardless of which party controls the Senate, an uphill political battle.