Politics
Will the US federal government enact a ban on the sale of menthol cigarettes before the end of 2028?
A politics prediction on the fate of a delayed public health regulation.
Yes 24%Maybe 3%No 73%
75 total votes
Analysis
Menthol Ban: Enacted by 2028?
The FDA proposed a ban on menthol cigarettes years ago, but it was withdrawn by the administration in early 2025. This prediction asks if a federal ban will be successfully enacted before 2028.
Political Dead End
The strong 'No' vote reflects the recent political shift. With the proposal formally withdrawn, restarting the rule-making process would take years and face renewed legal challenges. Furthermore, the political appetite to alienate voters or face industry lawsuits has waned. While state-level bans (like in California and Massachusetts) will likely expand, a *federal* ban is widely considered dead in the water for the current political cycle.