General
Will the US federal corporate tax rate (currently 21%) be officially lowered by any amount before the end of the 2027 calendar year?
A politics and economics prediction on US fiscal policy and the likelihood of a major corporate tax cut.
Yes 32%Maybe 15%No 52%
84 total votes
Analysis
US Corporate Tax Rate: Reduction by End of 2027
The US federal corporate tax rate is currently 21%. This prediction states the rate will be **officially lowered by any amount** before the end of 2027.
The Political Window
The **split vote** reflects the uncertainty surrounding the US political landscape. The major US tax legislation from 2017 has individual provisions set to expire at the end of 2025, forcing Congress to engage in comprehensive tax debate in 2026. A 'Yes' outcome is contingent on:
- **2026 Midterms:** A decisive victory for the Republican party, which consistently campaigns on lower corporate tax rates, potentially enabling a legislative push in 2027.
- **Economic Necessity:** A severe enough economic downturn that prompts bipartisan action to cut taxes as a stimulus measure (though less likely than partisan motivation).
A 'No' outcome relies on continued divided government or a Democratic-led Congress prioritizing a tax increase instead.