General
Will the US Congress pass legislation to fully repeal the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) before the end of 2028?
A high-stakes political prediction on the future of the US's landmark climate, energy, and healthcare legislation.
11 total votes
Analysis
Repealing the IRA by 2028?
The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) passed with only Democratic votes and is a significant target for the Republican Party, which views its climate provisions as government overreach and corporate subsidies. To fully repeal the IRA would require the Republican party to achieve unified control of the House, Senate, and Presidency after the 2026 midterm elections and maintain that unity through 2028.
Vested Interests
The majority 'No' vote is based on the political difficulty of repeal. Even if Republicans achieve a trifecta, many of the IRA's manufacturing and clean energy tax credits have already driven massive investment into Republican-leaning states and districts. A full repeal would anger powerful business interests, making a surgical rollback of select provisions (rather than a full repeal) the more politically likely outcome.