Economics
Will the US 10-Year Treasury yield fall below 2% at any point before the end of 2027?
An economics prediction on whether bond markets will experience a flight-to-safety event strong enough to push yields back to near-zero era levels.
Yes 29%Maybe 16%No 55%
55 total votes
Analysis
Can the 10-Year Treasury Dip Below 2% Again?
This prediction examines whether the benchmark U.S. 10-year yield can fall below 2% before 2027 ends — a level last seen during the pandemic era.
Why Most Say 'No'
With structural fiscal deficits, strong wage growth, and higher neutral-rate estimates, the market’s new equilibrium has shifted upward. For yields to break below 2%, a deep recession or financial crisis would need to occur. While not impossible, most analysts see a floor closer to 3% in the current macro regime.