Politics
Will the United States Congress pass legislation to increase the number of Supreme Court justices (court packing) before the end of 2029?
A politics prediction on a radical structural change to the US judiciary.
69 total votes
Analysis
Supreme Court Expansion: More Justices by 2029?
The ideological composition of the US Supreme Court has driven calls from the left to expand the court beyond nine justices. This prediction asks if such legislation will pass before the end of 2029.
The Filibuster Barrier
The overwhelming 'No' vote is due to the US Senate filibuster and the lack of broad public support for structural change. Passing such a bill would require a single party to hold the House, the Presidency, and a supermajority (or 50 votes + ending the filibuster) in the Senate. Even within the Democratic party, there is significant resistance to 'court packing' as it sets a dangerous precedent. Without a constitutional crisis significantly larger than current polarization, the structure of the court is likely to remain unchanged.