Will the total installed capacity of offshore wind globally exceed 150 GW in any year (2026–2030)?

The Offshore Wind Surge

Global installed offshore wind capacity was approximately $75$ GW in 2024 (GWEC, simulated late 2025 context). Forecasts are highly aggressive, with several major bodies projecting global capacity to exceed $300$ GW by 2030, driven by massive buildouts in China, the EU, the UK, and the US (especially in the Northeast). The $150$ GW threshold is considered a moderate, conservative milestone. The strong 'Yes' vote is based on the expectation that, even with permitting and supply chain delays, the current pipeline and political commitment to renewable energy targets will ensure the doubling of capacity well before the 2030 deadline.