Economics

Will the percentage of US federal tax returns filed electronically (e-filed) exceed 95% in the 2027 tax season?

An economics prediction on the final standardization and completion of the transition to digital filing in US federal taxation.

Yes 13%Maybe 25%No 63%

16 total votes

Analysis

E-Filing Standard: Over 95% of US Federal Returns in 2027

The vast majority of US federal tax returns are already filed electronically, but a small percentage of filers (often complex returns or those using free community services) still rely on paper. This prediction states that the percentage of e-filed returns will exceed 95% in the 2027 tax season (covering 2026 income).

IRS Modernization and Convenience

The high 'Yes' vote is driven by the continued, aggressive modernization efforts of the IRS (funded by new legislation) and the sheer convenience of digital filing. Factors include:

  • **Direct File:** The potential expansion of the IRS Direct File program, encouraging non-complex electronic submission.
  • **Software Dominance:** Tax preparation software (TurboTax, H&R Block) continues to capture the last paper filers.
  • **Mandates:** Increasing requirements for tax professionals to file electronically on behalf of clients.

The 95% threshold is a practical limit that signifies the near-complete digitization of US tax compliance.

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