Politics
Will the National Rally (RN) party win the French Presidential Election in 2027?
A political prediction on the rise of the far-right in France, considering the potential ineligibility of Marine Le Pen.
107 total votes
Analysis
France 2027: A National Rally Victory?
With Marine Le Pen facing a provisional ban from public office due to the 2025 embezzlement verdict, the focus shifts to her potential successor, Jordan Bardella, or a successful appeal. This prediction asks if the National Rally (RN) party will claim the French Presidency in 2027.
The Bardella Factor
The majority 'Yes' vote reflects the party's polling strength, independent of Le Pen personally. Jordan Bardella's popularity has surged, presenting a younger, 'cleaner' image that appeals to a broader electorate. With the centrist bloc fractured after the Macron era and economic dissatisfaction high, the RN is currently the clear favorite to win the Élysée Palace, regardless of whether the name on the ballot is Le Pen or Bardella.