General
Will the global GDP share of developing countries exceed 55% in any single year (2027–2030)?
A geopolitics prediction on the accelerating economic shift towards developing and emerging economies.
16 total votes
Analysis
The Shifting Global Economic Center
The search results (OECD, simulated late 2025 context) indicate that the aggregate economic weight of developing and emerging economies is already rapidly surpassing that of the advanced world, with forecasts projecting they will account for nearly 60% of world GDP by 2030. The rapid growth of major economies like China and India drives this structural transformation. The strong 'Yes' vote reflects the high probability that the 55% threshold, being below the 60% long-term forecast, will be comfortably exceeded well before the 2030 deadline due to sustained higher growth rates in the developing world compared to OECD countries.