General
Will the first commercial-passenger Hyperloop system commence operation anywhere in the world before the end of 2029?
A prediction on the viability and timeline of the ultra-high-speed magnetic levitation transport concept, requiring a system that is fully operational and carrying paying customers.
34 total votes
Analysis
Hyperloop: Commercial by 2029?
Despite massive hype in the mid-2010s, the Hyperloop concept has been plagued by engineering hurdles, astronomical costs, and the recent bankruptcy of the former market leader, Hyperloop One. While smaller companies in Europe and Asia continue testing, the fundamental challengesāincluding certification, safety protocols, and passenger logisticsāremain unsolved on a commercial scale.
The Certification Hurdle
The overwhelming 'No' vote reflects the current state of the industry. The 2029 deadline is highly ambitious, requiring massive infrastructure construction and the creation of entirely new, complex international regulatory frameworks for high-speed vacuum travel. Achieving commercial, paying operations for passengers by this date is now viewed by experts as highly unlikely.