Will the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) launch a joint military intervention in one of its coup-led member states (Niger, Guinea, or Mali) before the end of 2027?

ECOWAS: Military Intervention by 2027?

ECOWAS has long threatened military intervention to restore civilian rule in member states that have recently experienced coups, specifically Niger, Guinea, and Mali. The primary goal is to defend the region's democratic charter, but the logistical, financial, and military risks are immense, especially considering the counter-threats made by the juntas.

The Logistics of Invasion

The strong 'No' vote reflects the complexity. While the political will to deter future coups is high, the practical execution of a joint military operation across vast, complex territories, against fortified military juntas, is prohibitively expensive and risky. Without substantial external logistical support (which has been highly conditional), ECOWAS is expected to continue relying on crippling economic sanctions rather than military force before the deadline.