Will the average price of Bitcoin (BTC) fail to surpass its 2024 peak (approx. $73,000) in any month before 2030?

The Halving Cycle Predictability

Bitcoin's price is historically cyclical, with major peaks following its quadrennial 'halving' events. After the 2024 peak (simulated late 2025 context), the next halving is expected in 2028. The strong 70% 'No' vote reflects the high market confidence that the 2028 halving will, as in previous cycles, trigger a new bull run driven by scarcity and demand (particularly from institutional investors via ETFs). For the price to fail to breach the $73,000 level before the end of 2030, the entire crypto market would need to face an unprecedented, sustained regulatory crackdown or a major technological failure that fundamentally erodes trust, which is currently deemed unlikely given its growing mainstream adoption.