Will the average level of public trust in national government across OECD countries exceed 50% by the end of 2028?

The Trust Deficit

Public trust in national governments across OECD countries averages around $41.8%$ (2024 OECD data, simulated late 2025 context), a level higher than immediately after the Global Financial Crisis but still considered low. Trust is driven by perceptions of government capacity, integrity, and responsiveness. While service satisfaction performs better, concerns about fairness, political voice, and disinformation persist. The strong 'No' vote reflects the view that the underlying political polarization and the constant stream of global crises (economic, climate, geopolitical) will continue to erode the public's confidence, making a $50%$ average threshold for national governments across the diverse OECD bloc an overly optimistic target by 2028.