General
Will Tesla remove the 'Supervised' label from its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software in the US market before the end of 2026?
A technology prediction on the regulatory and technical maturity of Tesla's autonomous driving features.
109 total votes
Analysis
Tesla FSD: Unsupervised by 2026?
Tesla's FSD remains a Level 2 'Supervised' system, requiring constant driver attention. Elon Musk has pivoted the company toward the 'Cybercab' and unsupervised autonomy. This prediction asks if the 'Supervised' label will be officially dropped for consumer vehicles in the US by 2026.
The Liability Wall
The 'No' vote leads. Removing 'Supervised' implies Tesla accepts liability for accidents (Level 3/4). While the v12/v13 neural net updates are impressive, the 'march of 9s' (reliability) required for regulators to allow eyes-off driving is exponential. Most experts believe 2026 is too aggressive for a general-purpose, unsupervised rollout on existing hardware without geofencing, though a specific Robotaxi launch in a localized area might occur.