Will OpenAI publicly release its next-generation flagship model (e.g., GPT-5) before the end of 2026?

GPT-5: Arriving by 2026?

The AI community is eagerly awaiting the successor to GPT-4. This prediction asks if OpenAI will publicly release its next major flagship model (often referred to as GPT-5) before the end of 2026.

Training Runs and Safety Checks

The 'Yes' vote leads due to the intense competitive pressure from Google (Gemini) and Anthropic (Claude). While OpenAI has emphasized safety over speed recently, the training runs for the next generation are understood to be well underway or complete as of late 2025. The primary bottleneck is the 'red-teaming' and safety alignment process. However, leaving the flagship throne vacant for another full year would risk losing market share, making a 2026 release highly probable.