Will India be granted a permanent seat with veto power on the UN Security Council before the end of 2030?

India's UNSC Bid: Permanent Seat by 2030?

India, as the world's most populous nation and a growing economic power, has long campaigned for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. This prediction asks if India will achieve this goal, complete with veto power, before the end of 2030.

The Gridlock of Reform

Despite vocal support from the US, UK, France, and Russia, the 'No' vote leads due to the structural difficulty of amending the UN Charter. Any expansion requires the unanimous agreement of the current Permanent Five (P5). China remains a significant obstacle, and there is broad disagreement among member states about whether new permanent members should be granted veto power. While India's global influence will grow, the diplomatic gridlock at the UN makes a formal charter amendment by 2030 a steep uphill battle.