General
Will Hayao Miyazaki win a second competitive Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film before the end of 2029?
A cultural prediction on the success of the legendary director's next, unannounced feature film.
65 total votes
Analysis
Miyazaki: Second Oscar by 2029?
Hayao Miyazaki's film *The Boy and the Heron* secured his first competitive Oscar in 2024 (following his honorary award). Despite his age, Studio Ghibli executives have confirmed he is actively working on a new feature film, described as a 'nostalgic action-adventure.' This prediction focuses on whether this next project will be released and win the top prize by the 2029 ceremony.
The Production Timeline
The slight 'No' vote acknowledges the slow, meticulous pace of Ghibli's hand-drawn production, which makes a 2027 or 2028 release date for his next film tight. Furthermore, the category is highly competitive, facing strong output from Disney/Pixar and other international studios. However, the prestige and artistic quality associated with Ghibli always make it a serious contender when a film is finally released.