Will China's GDP growth fall below 3% for two consecutive years before 2030?

Is China Heading Toward a Sub-3% Growth Era?

After decades of double-digit expansion, China faces demographic decline, debt issues, and weakening exports. These structural barriers raise the possibility of a multi-year low-growth phase.

Arguments Supporting a Slowdown

Real estate collapse, shrinking workforce, geopolitical tensions, and supply chain diversification all pressure China’s growth.

Reasons Growth Might Hold

Technological investment, state intervention, and domestic consumption stimulus could keep GDP above the 3% level.