General
Will Blue Origin successfully complete the maiden orbital flight of its New Glenn heavy-lift rocket before the end of 2027?
A technology and space prediction on the successful inaugural launch of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin company's flagship reusable orbital launch vehicle.
70 total votes
Analysis
New Glenn's Orbital Debut by 2027?
Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket is designed to be a highly capable, reusable heavy-lift vehicle and a direct competitor to SpaceX's Falcon Heavy and Starship. The development has faced significant technical and scheduling challenges, leading to multiple delays. However, the company has immense financial backing and a strong, high-profile customer base (including NASA and commercial satellite operators).
The Pressure to Launch
The majority 'Yes' vote reflects the increasing pressure on Blue Origin to deliver this centerpiece of its strategy. Given the financial and political necessity for the company to enter the orbital launch market, the two-year window (2026-2027) provides sufficient time to overcome the final, complex technical hurdles and successfully complete the inaugural orbital test flight.