General
Will AI models (LLMs) lead to a net reduction of 1 million or more jobs in the US finance, legal, and tech sectors before the end of 2028?
A prediction on the scale of labor market disruption caused by the rapid deployment of large language models and generative AI tools in white-collar industries.
99 total votes
Analysis
AI Automation: 1 Million White-Collar Jobs Gone by 2028?
While earlier waves of automation primarily hit manufacturing, the current generation of generative AI tools (LLMs) is targeting knowledge work—the backbone of the US's high-value finance, legal, and software development sectors. This prediction sets a highly ambitious, yet plausible, threshold for net job loss caused by increased efficiency and role elimination.
Efficiency vs. New Jobs
The majority 'Yes' vote is based on reports from major consulting firms that suggest 30% or more of current tasks in these sectors are automatable. While the long-term may see new job creation, the immediate, painful period of mass cost-cutting and efficiency gains is expected to dominate the 2026–2028 window, likely clearing the 1-million-job reduction threshold.