General
Will a research group demonstrate a verified, commercially viable room-temperature superconductor before the end of 2030?
A science prediction on the 'holy grail' of condensed matter physics following the LK-99 saga.
109 total votes
Analysis
Room-Temp Superconductor: Verified by 2030?
Following the debunking of LK-99, the search for a material that conducts electricity with zero resistance at room temperature continues. This prediction asks if a verified, commercially viable material will be demonstrated by 2030.
The Physics Barrier
The strong 'No' vote reflects the immense scientific skepticism. While recent theoretical papers (e.g., from QMUL in 2025) suggest it is *physically possible*, finding the specific material structure remains a needle-in-a-haystack problem. Even if a microscopic sample is found, 'commercial viability' (making wires or chips at scale) is a separate, massive engineering hurdle that is unlikely to be cleared within five years.