Will a major country adopt a universal basic income by 2030?

Universal Basic Income in Major Countries by 2030

Universal basic income has been tested in pilot programs worldwide, showing both potential benefits and challenges. Implementation on a national scale requires substantial government budgets, social acceptance, and robust administration.

Economic disruptions, automation, and inequality pressures may encourage adoption, but political resistance and fiscal constraints remain major obstacles.

My prediction: By 2030, nationwide UBI in a major country is possible but unlikely. Targeted or conditional cash programs may expand instead, providing partial income guarantees.