Economics
Will a major country achieve 90% EV sales share in new cars by 2030?
Prediction on whether any large country will see 90% of new vehicle sales being electric by 2030.
Yes 26%Maybe 7%No 67%
61 total votes
Analysis
EV Market Share Reaching 90% by 2030
Electric vehicle adoption is accelerating due to policy incentives, improved charging infrastructure, and declining battery costs. Leading countries like Norway are approaching near-total EV sales for new vehicles.
Challenges include grid readiness, raw material supply for batteries, and consumer adoption in larger markets. Regional disparities may slow overall progress.
My prediction: While smaller countries may achieve 90% EV sales in new cars, it is unlikely a major economy will reach this threshold by 2030. High adoption rates of 50-70% are more feasible.