General
Will a formal treaty on the 'Legal Personhood of AI' be ratified by at least three G20 nations before the end of 2030?
A politics and technology prediction on the legal status of advanced artificial intelligence.
78 total votes
Analysis
AI Personhood: Legal Recognition by 2030?
This prediction asks if at least three G20 nations will ratify a formal treaty or pass legislation granting some form of **legal personhood** (rights or liability status independent of creators) to AI systems before 2030.
Too Soon for Rights
The strong **'No'** vote reflects the consensus that while AI *liability* (who to sue) will be regulated, granting *personhood* is a philosophical and legal leap that society is not ready for. The focus of regulation through 2030 will be on safety, copyright, and human control (e.g., EU AI Act). Granting personhood is seen as a distraction or a dangerous loophole for corporate liability shielding, rather than a near-term policy goal for major economies.