Will a decentralized social network surpass 300M users by 2030?

Decentralized Social Media: Sleeping Giant or Mirage?

The web is quietly tilting toward decentralization, even if users barely notice it. Identity frameworks, content ownership, and distributed hosting are no longer academic novelties—they’re forming ecosystems.

The challenge has always been onboarding the masses. People want convenience, not cryptographic puzzles. But new architectures are smoothing those rough edges, making decentralized platforms feel familiar while remaining fundamentally different.

My prediction: A breakout moment arrives before 2030, but 300M users is ambitious. If one platform reaches that threshold, it will redefine digital citizenship.